Why Saving Dying Industries Hurts Everyone
Every dying industry has the same speech. “If we go down, we take everyone with us.” Coal executives say it. Taxi medallion owners say it. …
Read ArticleOpen Uber during a rainstorm and watch the surge multiplier climb. $12 becomes $38. Your first instinct is outrage. Your second instinct – if you think for ten seconds – should be admiration. That price is not gouging you. It is screaming into a megaphone: “We need more drivers on the road right now.” And it works. Drivers see the surge, get in their cars, and supply appears precisely where and when it is needed. No committee decided this. No dispatcher made a call. A number on a screen coordinated thousands of strangers in real time.
That is what prices do. Every price in the economy is a signal – a compressed message containing more information than any spreadsheet could capture. And the entire modern economy runs on these signals, whether people realize it or not.
Imagine you are alone on an island. You wake up and immediately face tradeoffs. Spend the morning getting water, and you do not build shelter. Build shelter, and you do not fish. Fish all day, and you have no firewood by nightfall. Every single choice means giving up something else.
This is obvious when it is one person on one island. You can hold the whole problem in your head. You feel the tradeoffs directly – hunger, thirst, cold.
Now multiply that by 330 million people in the United States alone. Millions of products, billions of possible combinations of labor and resources, constantly shifting preferences and technologies. No human brain can hold that problem. No committee, no matter how brilliant, can solve it.
Prices solve it. Every minute of every day.
Here is how it works, stripped to the essentials.
When demand for something rises, the price goes up. Higher price means higher profit margins for producers. Higher profits attract more producers and more investment. Production increases. As supply catches up, the price drops back toward equilibrium. No one planned this. No one had to.
The reverse works identically. When demand drops, price falls. Profit margins shrink. Marginal producers – the ones barely getting by – exit and redirect their resources to something more profitable. Supply contracts. Price stabilizes. Resources flow to where they are more urgently needed.
This happens millions of times a day across every product and service in a market economy. It is not chaos. It is a system of thousands of interconnected feedback loops, each one self-correcting, each one communicating information that would take a bureaucracy years to compile and would be outdated by the time they finished compiling it.
When cryptocurrency mining exploded, GPU prices went through the roof. A graphics card that retailed for $500 was selling for $1,500 on eBay. Gamers were furious. The outrage was real and understandable.
But the price was doing its job. It was broadcasting a signal to every chip manufacturer on the planet: there is a massive shortage of GPUs. The profit margins are enormous. Build more. Invest in new fabrication capacity. Expand production lines.
NVIDIA and AMD responded. Production ramped up. New chip architectures were designed with mining workloads in mind. When the crypto boom cooled and mining demand dropped, prices fell back. Supply adjusted. The temporary pain of high prices funded the permanent expansion of production capacity that now serves AI workloads, data centers, and yes, gamers.
If someone had capped GPU prices at $500 during the boom, the shortage would have been worse, not better. The signal would have been silenced. The investment would not have happened. The production expansion that now benefits everyone would have been delayed or prevented entirely.
In March 2020, hand sanitizer vanished from every shelf in America. Some people who had stockpiles listed bottles on Amazon for $50 or $70. The internet exploded with rage. States passed anti-price-gouging laws. Amazon delisted sellers. Everyone felt righteous about it.
But what did the high price do before it was banned? It screamed a signal: someone, anyone, please produce more hand sanitizer immediately. There are enormous profits waiting for anyone who can get supply to market. Distilleries that normally made whiskey started making sanitizer. Chemical companies retooled production lines. Within weeks, supply was flooding back – driven by the profit signal that the high price represented.
The price-gouging laws, well-intentioned as they were, actually slowed this process. If you cap the price, you remove the incentive for new producers to enter the market. You also remove the incentive for hoarders to sell their stockpiles. Low price plus empty shelf helps exactly no one.
There is a persistent argument that goes like this: capitalism is wasteful because producers care about profit, not about what people actually need. If shoe factories close because shoes are unprofitable, that proves the system is broken. People need shoes. How can it be right to stop making them just because the numbers do not work?
This argument sounds compassionate. It is actually backwards.
When a shoe factory becomes unprofitable, what is the price system actually saying? It is saying: the resources going into shoes – the leather, the rubber, the labor, the factory floor space – would produce more value somewhere else. People’s spending is telling you that they need housing or food or medical care more urgently than they need additional shoes at current prices.
You cannot pile up mountains of shoes while people lack houses. Every product is produced at the expense of some other product. The leather that goes into shoes does not go into car seats. The factory workers making unprofitable shoes are not available to build apartments. The capital tied up in a shoe factory that nobody needs is not available to fund a clinic.
Profit is not greed. Profit is the signal that says “keep doing this, people want it.” Loss is the signal that says “stop doing this, people want something else more.” Ignoring these signals does not help consumers. It traps resources in the wrong place.
The USSR tried to run an economy without real prices for seventy years. A central planning committee – Gosplan – tried to set the prices and production quantities for literally millions of products. They had thousands of the smartest mathematicians and economists in the country working on it.
It did not work. It could not work. Not because the planners were stupid. Because the problem is computationally impossible.
Every consumer decision, every shift in weather, every technological improvement, every change in taste or preference generates information that needs to flow through the system. In a market economy, prices carry that information instantly, automatically, without anyone needing to understand the whole picture. A drought in Brazil raises coffee prices in Helsinki within hours. No memo required.
In the Soviet system, information had to flow up through bureaucracy, get processed by a committee, and flow back down as production orders. By the time the orders arrived, conditions had changed. The result was legendary: warehouses full of products nobody wanted, shelves empty of products everyone needed. Factories producing left shoes but not right shoes. Grain rotting in silos while bread lines stretched around blocks.
The Soviets did not fail because of laziness or corruption. They failed because they tried to replace the price system with human planning, and the price system processes more information in a single day than any committee could process in a decade.
Amazon changes prices on its products roughly 2.5 million times per day. Not because someone at Amazon headquarters is sitting at a desk adjusting numbers. An algorithm does it – responding to demand signals, competitor pricing, inventory levels, shipping costs, and dozens of other variables in real time.
This is the price system on steroids. And it works spectacularly. Products that are selling out get priced higher, which rations limited supply to the people who want them most and signals warehouses to restock. Products that are sitting unsold get priced lower, clearing inventory and freeing up shelf space for things people actually want.
Amazon’s algorithm is not doing anything fundamentally different from what the price system has always done. It is just doing it faster. Every price adjustment is a signal. Every signal redirects resources. Every redirection makes the system more efficient.
People treat high rent in San Francisco as a moral failure. It is actually a signal that is being deliberately ignored.
High rent says one thing: build more housing here. The demand is enormous. The profit opportunity for builders is enormous. If you let the signal work, developers build apartments, supply increases, and rent stabilizes or falls.
But San Francisco spent decades blocking that signal. Zoning restrictions, building permit delays averaging two to three years, environmental reviews for apartment buildings, neighborhood vetoes, height limits. The signal screamed “build” and the regulations screamed “no.”
The result is exactly what the price system predicts when you block its signals. Supply stayed flat while demand grew. Rent kept climbing. Teachers, firefighters, and service workers got priced out. The city that prides itself on progressive values created a housing market that only tech workers can afford – not because of greed, but because it systematically prevented the price signal from doing its job.
Every time you stream a song on Spotify or watch a show on Netflix, you are casting a vote. Not a political vote. An economic vote. Your attention – backed by your subscription money – tells producers what to make more of.
Netflix spent $100 million on a single season of a show not because an executive thought it was art. Because the data – millions of consumer votes, expressed through viewing hours – said there was demand for it. When a show does not get watched, it gets canceled. Resources flow to the next show that consumers actually want.
This is the price system operating through attention metrics rather than traditional price tags. The mechanism is identical. Consumer behavior generates signals. Producers respond to signals. Resources flow toward things people value and away from things they do not. No committee decides what shows get made. Audiences decide, and their decisions are communicated through the system automatically.
Every price is a telegram. It contains information about supply, demand, costs, preferences, urgency, and scarcity – compressed into a single number that everyone can read and act on instantly.
When you let prices move freely, the economy self-corrects. Shortages create high prices that attract supply. Surpluses create low prices that redirect resources. Dying industries release workers and capital for growing industries. The whole system adjusts continuously, solving allocation problems that no team of planners could even formulate, let alone solve.
When you block prices – with caps, floors, subsidies, or controls – you are cutting the wires on the telegraph system. The messages stop getting through. Resources pile up where they are not needed and vanish from where they are. The result is always the same: shortages, surpluses, waste, and frustration.
The price system is not perfect. Nothing involving humans is. But it is the only coordination mechanism that has ever worked at scale. Every attempt to replace it with planning has failed. Every attempt to override it with controls has produced the opposite of what was intended.
Prices are not the problem. Prices are the solution the economy invented for problems too complex for any human mind to solve. The smartest thing you can do is let them talk.
Every dying industry has the same speech. “If we go down, we take everyone with us.” Coal executives say it. Taxi medallion owners say it. …
Read ArticleThere is a pitch that has been running for over a century, and it still works every time. It goes like this: “Our industry is the backbone of …
Read Article